04 Oct The NFL in Week 5. Derek Malone Takes a look
Indianapolis (4/1) visit New England (2/11) to start the fifth week of the NFL. While the Patriots returned to winning ways with a 38-7 win over Miami, the Colts lost a thrilling game to Houston 37-34 in overtime for their third loss of the season.
The Colts have scored 96 points (24 per game) in their four games this season while the Patriots have scored 95 points (23.75 per game). For the Colts to score 20 points or more is 4/5 while the Patriots are 20/23 to score 31 points or more at home.
The total points market is set at 51 with odds of 25/27 for over that total and 25/28 for under. One game involving the Patriots this season has seen 51 points or more while two of the Colts’ four games have seen 51 or more points scored.
The Pats have won the last seven meetings with the Colts with an average winning margin of 24.6 points in the previous five, showing their dominance in recent years. New England are 19/4 to win by between 19 and 24 points.
Four of the Colts’ last wins against New England-with the last coming in 2009- have been close affairs and have been decided by an average of 3.75 points. Indianapolis is 7/1 to win by a margin between one and six points.
Six games this season have already gone into overtime in the NFL and this game is 12/1 to need more than 60 minutes of play to determine the outcome.
In the market to score the first or last TD, New England’s James White is a good bet after scoring on a 22-yard run against Miami last weekend. White is 31/4 (and 1/1 anytime) to score against the Colts.
Sony Michel ran for 112 yards and scored against the Dolphins and is 27/4 (10/13 anytime).
Josh Gordon caught two passes from Tom Brady following his trade from Cleveland and is expected to see passes come his way now he has had more time to study the Pats’ playbook. He is 11/1 (29/20 anytime).
For the Colts, Nyheim Hines caught two TD passes in their defeat to Houston last time out, and he is 12/1 (6/4 anytime).
Eric Ebron has three TD catches this season including a 5-yard pass from Andrew Luck last weekend. Ebron is 11/1 (17/10 anytime) to add to that total.
Colts QB Luck has put up impressive numbers this season including 464 yards and a TD in the OT loss to the Texans. He is 20/39 to pass for two or more TDs against the Patriots whose QB Tom Brady is 10/21 to pass for two or more scores.
The second quarter, which has been the highest scoring quarter in games involving the Patriots with 61 points scored (34%), is 17/10 to produce the most points.
If you place a bet, #MakeItCount.